Oops! Home Prices Didn’t Crash After All

by Brandon Grell

Oops! Home Prices Didn’t Crash After All Simplifying The Market

During the fourth quarter of last year, many housing experts predicted home prices were going to crash this year. Here are a few of those forecasts:

Jeremy Siegel, Russell E. Palmer Professor Emeritus of Finance at the Wharton School of Business:

“I expect housing prices fall 10% to 15%, and the housing prices are accelerating on the downside.”

Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics:

"Buckle in. Assuming rates remain near their current 6.5% and the economy skirts recession, then national house prices will fall almost 10% peak-to-trough. Most of those declines will happen sooner rather than later. And house prices will fall 20% if there is a typical recession.” 

Goldman Sachs

“Housing is already cooling in the U.S., according to July data that was reported last week. As interest rates climb steadily higher, Goldman Sachs Research’s G-10 home price model suggests home prices will decline by around 5% to 10% from the peak in the U.S. . . . Economists at Goldman Sachs Research say there are risks that housing markets could decline more than their model suggests.”

The Bad News: It Rattled Consumer Confidence

These forecasts put doubt in the minds of many consumers about the strength of the residential real estate market. Evidence of this can be seen in the December Consumer Confidence Survey from Fannie Mae. It showed a larger percentage of Americans believed home prices would fall over the next 12 months than in any other December in the history of the survey (see graph below). That caused people to hesitate about their homebuying or selling plans as we entered the new year.

The Good News: Home Prices Never Crashed

However, home prices didn’t come crashing down and seem to be already rebounding from the minimal depreciation experienced over the last several months. 

In a report just released, Goldman Sachs explained:

“The global housing market seems to be stabilizing faster than expected despite months of rising mortgage rates, according to Goldman Sachs Research. House prices are defying expectations and are rising in major economies such as the U.S.,. . . ”

Those claims from Goldman Sachs were verified by the release last week of two indexes on home prices: Case-Shiller and the FHFA. Here are the numbers each reported:

Home values seem to have turned the corner and are headed back up.

Bottom Line

The housing market is much stronger than many think. To get a true evaluation of your local market, reach out to a trusted real estate professional.

 

 

The Resilient Real Estate Market: Grell Realty Group's Impact on San Antonio and Boerne, Texas

In recent years, the real estate market has experienced its fair share of ups and downs. Speculations and predictions of a looming crash often dominate headlines, leaving homeowners, buyers, and sellers uncertain about the future. However, San Antonio and its neighboring city, Boerne, have defied the odds, with the help of the reputable Grell Realty Group. In this blog post, we will explore how the real estate market in San Antonio and Boerne remained strong and resilient, debunking the fears of a crash, and showcasing the key role played by the Grell Realty Group in this remarkable success story.

  1. Economic Stability and Population Growth: San Antonio and Boerne boast a strong and diverse economy, providing a solid foundation for the real estate market. The region has experienced consistent job growth across various sectors, including healthcare, technology, and finance. This stability, coupled with a steady influx of new residents, has fueled the demand for housing, ensuring the market's stability. The Grell Realty Group, a leading real estate agency in the area, has adeptly navigated these factors, providing exceptional services to clients and contributing to the market's resilience.

  2. Unmatched Expertise of Grell Realty Group: Grell Realty Group, with their extensive knowledge and expertise in the San Antonio and Boerne real estate markets, has played a pivotal role in driving growth and mitigating risks. Their team of experienced agents possesses an in-depth understanding of local trends, pricing dynamics, and investment opportunities. By providing valuable insights, personalized advice, and top-notch customer service, the Grell Realty Group has built a solid reputation and helped countless clients make informed decisions in an uncertain market.

  3. Diversification and Smart Investments: One of the key reasons the real estate market in San Antonio and Boerne weathered potential crashes is the emphasis on diversification and smart investments. Grell Realty Group has been instrumental in guiding buyers and investors towards profitable opportunities beyond traditional single-family homes. The team's expertise extends to commercial properties, rental properties, and land development projects, ensuring clients have a well-rounded portfolio that can withstand market fluctuations.

  4. Market Demand and Housing Affordability: Unlike some other major cities in the United States, San Antonio and Boerne have managed to strike a balance between market demand and housing affordability. The region offers a range of options, including affordable starter homes, mid-range properties, and high-end luxury estates. Grell Realty Group has played a significant role in matching buyers with homes that fit their budget and preferences, ensuring that the market remains robust and accessible to a diverse range of buyers.

  5. Strong Community and Lifestyle Factors: San Antonio and Boerne are renowned for their strong sense of community, rich cultural heritage, and vibrant lifestyle offerings. These factors contribute to the region's desirability and make it an attractive place to live, work, and invest. The Grell Realty Group understands the value of these intangible aspects and effectively showcases them to potential buyers. By highlighting the region's unique attractions, such as the historic River Walk in San Antonio and the charming small-town feel of Boerne, Grell Realty Group has played a significant role in driving demand and maintaining a thriving real estate market.

  6. Infrastructure and Development Initiatives: San Antonio and Boerne have seen substantial infrastructure and development initiatives in recent years. These projects have enhanced the overall quality of life, attracted businesses, and stimulated the real estate market. From improved transportation networks to the establishment of educational and healthcare facilities, the region has witnessed significant progress. The Grell Realty Group keeps a close eye on these developments, providing clients with valuable information about areas poised for growth, ensuring they make informed investment decisions.

Conclusion:

Contrary to the fears of a real estate crash, the San Antonio and Boerne markets have demonstrated remarkable resilience. The Grell Realty Group's unwavering commitment to providing exceptional service, their expertise in local market dynamics, and their focus on diversification and smart investments have played a crucial role in maintaining a stable and thriving real estate market. As the region continues to grow and evolve, the Grell Realty Group will undoubtedly continue to be at the forefront, guiding clients towards successful real estate transactions and fostering continued market stability.

Brandon Grell

Agent | License ID: 770682

+1(830) 444-1352

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